社評0125 川普重返白宮之路又近一步

川普重返白宮之路又近一步

盡管官司纒身，前總統川普在新罕布什爾州初選中獲勝， 為他成為共和黨總統候選人幾成定局。 如果他在十一月大選中擊敗民主黨之拜登總統， 這對世界局勢尤其是中美臺關係帶來新的局面。

川普在主張美國第一之政治號召下， 他主張美國要大力開採石油去還債。 他說：“我們必須退出許多多邊國際組織， 更無意派兵成為世界警察， 並主張對世界所有國家徵收至少百分之十以上之貿易關稅， 並且要求包括北約、 日韓增加軍費減輕美國之負擔。”

川普之出身和政治主張與拜登相比可謂是南轅北轍， 包括目前戰火還在進行中的烏克蘭及加薩走廊， 如果他重返執政 ，可能會有許多大動作。

中美臺關係也極可能有重大變化， 從俄烏之戰看來 ，美國和盟邦是不可能出兵 ，這對臺灣是一個非常重要的警訊。 換言之， 包括川普在內決不會派兵防衛臺灣。

今年美國十一月份之大選必將是牽動全球局勢之大事， 全世界都在拭目以待。

Trump's Return To The White House Is One Step Closer

Former President Trump’s victory in New Hampshire makes him much stronger on the national scene and now the most credible Republican presidential candidate. If Trump defeats President Biden in the November election, his presidency will affect critical situations around the world including the Sino-US relationship and the Taiwan-China relationship. Trump’s American First program will lead him to advocate that the United States should vigorously exploit oil to pay off the country's national debt. Trump has said that he wants to put at least a 10% import tax on all countries. Additionally, he will ask for our allies to pay for military spending to reduce the payment burden of our nation. 

The China-U.S and Taiwan relationship will also likely change significantly. It is impossible that the U.S. will send ground troops to protect Taiwan in case China wants to take over. 

The 2024 U.S. presidential election will definitely affect the future of the entire world.